Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000921 0.000956 0.000992 0.001031 0.001073 0.001116 0.001164
2025-09-28 0.000854 0.000906 0.000960 0.001020 0.001088 0.001160 0.001243
2025-10-05 0.000784 0.000844 0.000909 0.000984 0.001069 0.001163 0.001275
2025-10-12 0.000748 0.000816 0.000891 0.000980 0.001083 0.001201 0.001346
2025-10-19 0.000718 0.000792 0.000876 0.000976 0.001097 0.001237 0.001415
2025-10-26 0.000690 0.000768 0.000858 0.000968 0.001102 0.001263 0.001472
2025-11-02 0.000670 0.000754 0.000850 0.000970 0.001119 0.001300 0.001544
2025-11-09 0.000647 0.000733 0.000833 0.000960 0.001120 0.001319 0.001591
2025-11-16 0.000626 0.000714 0.000817 0.000950 0.001120 0.001334 0.001635
2025-11-23 0.000619 0.000711 0.000820 0.000964 0.001150 0.001390 0.001735
2025-11-30 0.000607 0.000701 0.000815 0.000966 0.001165 0.001426 0.001810
2025-12-07 0.000590 0.000685 0.000801 0.000955 0.001161 0.001436 0.001848
2025-12-14 0.000571 0.000667 0.000783 0.000941 0.001153 0.001440 0.001879
2025-12-21 0.000558 0.000654 0.000773 0.000935 0.001156 0.001459 0.001932
2025-12-28 0.000534 0.000628 0.000745 0.000904 0.001124 0.001428 0.001907
2026-01-04 0.000524 0.000619 0.000737 0.000901 0.001129 0.001450 0.001966
2026-01-11 0.000514 0.000610 0.000731 0.000899 0.001136 0.001473 0.002027
2026-01-18 0.000503 0.000599 0.000721 0.000892 0.001135 0.001486 0.002072
2026-01-25 0.000496 0.000593 0.000717 0.000893 0.001146 0.001517 0.002149
2026-02-01 0.000485 0.000582 0.000707 0.000884 0.001142 0.001524 0.002186
2026-02-08 0.000475 0.000572 0.000697 0.000875 0.001137 0.001530 0.002221
2026-02-15 0.000473 0.000572 0.000701 0.000888 0.001164 0.001587 0.002349
2026-02-22 0.000468 0.000568 0.000699 0.000890 0.001176 0.001620 0.002437